According to @simplykashif, prediction market Polymarket is pricing a 59% implied probability that Bitcoin (BTC) will outperform gold in 2026 based on its live market odds, as noted in his Jan 3, 2026 update (source: Polymarket; source: @simplykashif on X). On Polymarket, yes-share prices are interpreted as implied probabilities, so 59% reflects the market’s crowd-assessed likelihood for BTC to beat gold in 2026 (source: Polymarket).